Alphabet Annualized Revenue Reaches $500 Billion, After-Hours Stock Falls 7%
Q3 revenue grew 25%, Cloud doubled, tokens/min surged to 32B; Search ads, EPS, and operating profit missed expectations. The market sold first, and the comments section argued first.
Sundar Pichai posted the 2026 Q3 results on X. The numbers in the tweet look bright: Alphabet's annualized revenue run rate reached $500 billion, with revenue up 25% year over year. Here, run rate is an annualized run rate and does not equal full-year revenue already achieved.
The chart lists six items. Alphabet Q3 revenue was about $128 billion, up 25% YoY. Search & Other Ads rose 12% YoY; Pichai said that including commercial queries, YoY query growth was the highest in the past five years. Google Cloud grew 103% YoY. Gemini App monthly active users exceeded 100 million. YouTube Music and Premium subscriptions, including trials, totaled 150M. Tokens per minute for 1P model APIs rose 40% quarter over quarter.
Pichai's tweet also gave two AI operating figures. 1P model APIs now process nearly 32B tokens per minute, up 40% QoQ. Some users calculated that this is about 46 trillion tokens per day, versus about 23B per minute last quarter. Cloud revenue was 30.71B, beating the market estimate of 29.10B. On model progress, Argon and Carbon are leading at the frontier, and Genie 4 is a new-generation world model. In the comments, some asked when Carbon would be available, while others were less than polite about Argon and Carbon.
The market gave another reaction first. Kobeissi Letter posted that Alphabet fell more than 8% after hours. A Yahoo Finance screenshot shows GOOG closed at $321.89 and traded at $299.26 after hours, down 7.03%. El Puma del Merval organized key comparisons in a reply: revenue 127.58B, below the estimate of 127.93B; EPS 2.12, versus 2.87 a year earlier; operating profit 40.58B, below the estimate of 43.16B; Google Services 96.30B, below the estimate of 98.40B; Google Cloud 30.71B, above the estimate of 29.10B; Google Search 63.35B, below the estimate of 64.85B. Cloud was a beat; Search ads and profit line items were misses.
Kobeissi Letter tweet link: https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2115535656105496959
Video memes also appeared in the replies. The caption reads “You gotta pump those up, those are rookie numbers in this racket.” In the context of the after-hours drop, it hits hard.
Before earnings, Astra Insights' preview put Wall Street expectations at revenue 127.96B, up 25.0% YoY, and EPS 3.02, up 5.2% YoY. When the actual numbers came out, both revenue and EPS missed that mark. The market has very little room for error with Big Tech, and even Cloud doubling couldn't bring the after-hours price back.
The comments section has two questions more worth watching than the stock price. One user asked whether chats in AI Overview count as search queries; if they do, why hasn't the explosion in LLM usage eaten into Search? Another user asked Pichai directly whether AI will eventually make Google Search look obsolete. Pichai's tweet said query growth was the highest in five years, but Search revenue of 63.35B was below the estimate of 64.85B. There is still a layer between query growth and ad monetization.
Before the earnings call had even started, the comments section had already produced two narratives: one focused on tokens/min, Cloud doubling, and model progress; the other on the Search miss and the 7% after-hours drop. Both sides can find evidence in the same earnings report.
Pichai tweet link: https://x.com/sundarpichai/status/2115535455156642066
发布时间: 2026-10-29 04:29